Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019049 0.020421 0.021846 0.023438 0.025170 0.026997 0.029074
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016606 0.018568 0.020710 0.023229 0.026117 0.029337 0.033210
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014865 0.017148 0.019734 0.022895 0.026671 0.031062 0.036588
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013759 0.016280 0.019223 0.022934 0.027524 0.033054 0.040285
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012713 0.015361 0.018530 0.022635 0.027860 0.034351 0.043126
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011777 0.014488 0.017804 0.022199 0.027937 0.035261 0.045458
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011078 0.013852 0.017312 0.021997 0.028258 0.036451 0.048180
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010461 0.013275 0.016847 0.021780 0.028513 0.037532 0.050782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009818 0.012622 0.016238 0.021319 0.028389 0.038058 0.052602
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009491 0.012365 0.016132 0.021518 0.029163 0.039850 0.056324
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009112 0.012014 0.015875 0.021484 0.029593 0.041157 0.059395
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008853 0.011811 0.015803 0.021697 0.030374 0.042999 0.063376
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008448 0.011391 0.015414 0.021440 0.030459 0.043824 0.065858
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008125 0.011070 0.015149 0.021346 0.030774 0.045006 0.068977
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007768 0.010685 0.014772 0.021065 0.030783 0.045703 0.071341
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007533 0.010464 0.014619 0.021105 0.031281 0.047184 0.075090
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007225 0.010123 0.014275 0.020835 0.031271 0.047842 0.077474
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006903 0.009748 0.013865 0.020440 0.031037 0.048114 0.079191
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006658 0.009477 0.013599 0.020256 0.031130 0.048921 0.081895
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006424 0.009215 0.013333 0.020059 0.031186 0.049661 0.084517
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006148 0.008878 0.012941 0.019641 0.030849 0.049706 0.085849
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006034 0.008786 0.012922 0.019822 0.031526 0.051535 0.090646
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005876 0.008618 0.012778 0.019791 0.031837 0.052732 0.094311